| tmceleste vs Steve | 10–19 | 34.48% |
| tmceleste vs Reina | 12–14 | 46.15% |
| tmceleste vs Clive | 9–15 | 37.50% |
| tmceleste vs Law | 4–17 | 19.05% |
| tmceleste vs Kazuya | 7–11 | 38.89% |
| tmceleste vs King | 5–11 | 31.25% |
| tmceleste vs Lili | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| tmceleste vs Lars | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| tmceleste vs Eddy | 2–9 | 18.18% |
| tmceleste vs Dragunov | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| tmceleste vs Leo | 1–8 | 11.11% |
| tmceleste vs Alisa | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| tmceleste vs Paul | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| tmceleste vs Hwoarang | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| tmceleste vs Jack-8 | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| tmceleste vs Lee | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| tmceleste vs Jun | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| tmceleste vs Nina | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| tmceleste vs Azucena | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| tmceleste vs Bryan | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| tmceleste vs Asuka | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| tmceleste vs Leroy | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| tmceleste vs Raven | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| tmceleste vs Heihachi | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| tmceleste vs Yoshimitsu | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| tmceleste vs Jin | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| tmceleste vs Kuma | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| tmceleste vs Victor | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| tmceleste vs Lidia | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| tmceleste vs Panda | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| tmceleste vs Xiaoyu | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| tmceleste vs Shaheen | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| tmceleste vs Zafina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.