| Theta vs Kazuya | 80–65 | 55.17% |
| Theta vs Jin | 59–63 | 48.36% |
| Theta vs King | 45–49 | 47.87% |
| Theta vs Reina | 53–30 | 63.86% |
| Theta vs Victor | 37–41 | 47.44% |
| Theta vs Steve | 33–43 | 43.42% |
| Theta vs Heihachi | 32–42 | 43.24% |
| Theta vs Bryan | 27–44 | 38.03% |
| Theta vs Hwoarang | 30–32 | 48.39% |
| Theta vs Dragunov | 24–37 | 39.34% |
| Theta vs Law | 19–27 | 41.30% |
| Theta vs Lars | 19–25 | 43.18% |
| Theta vs Jun | 21–23 | 47.73% |
| Theta vs Paul | 19–24 | 44.19% |
| Theta vs Yoshimitsu | 22–20 | 52.38% |
| Theta vs Asuka | 17–20 | 45.95% |
| Theta vs Claudio | 10–25 | 28.57% |
| Theta vs Lili | 14–19 | 42.42% |
| Theta vs Azucena | 15–18 | 45.45% |
| Theta vs Lee | 14–17 | 45.16% |
| Theta vs Eddy | 10–20 | 33.33% |
| Theta vs Alisa | 11–17 | 39.29% |
| Theta vs Devil Jin | 12–11 | 52.17% |
| Theta vs Leo | 13–10 | 56.52% |
| Theta vs Anna | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| Theta vs Lidia | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Theta vs Xiaoyu | 8–11 | 42.11% |
| Theta vs Shaheen | 11–6 | 64.71% |
| Theta vs Feng | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| Theta vs Kuma | 13–2 | 86.67% |
| Theta vs Nina | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Theta vs Leroy | 9–3 | 75.00% |
| Theta vs Jack-8 | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Theta vs Clive | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Theta vs Raven | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Theta vs Fahkumram | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Theta vs Panda | 2–2 | 50.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.