| Ultimate vs King | 10–13 | 43.48% |
| Ultimate vs Hwoarang | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Ultimate vs Kazuya | 14–3 | 82.35% |
| Ultimate vs Yoshimitsu | 9–3 | 75.00% |
| Ultimate vs Jin | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Ultimate vs Lars | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Ultimate vs Jun | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Ultimate vs Steve | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| Ultimate vs Devil Jin | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Ultimate vs Azucena | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Ultimate vs Xiaoyu | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Ultimate vs Dragunov | 0–8 | 0.00% |
| Ultimate vs Nina | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| Ultimate vs Raven | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Ultimate vs Eddy | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Ultimate vs Law | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Ultimate vs Leo | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Ultimate vs Alisa | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Ultimate vs Claudio | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Ultimate vs Leroy | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| Ultimate vs Reina | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Ultimate vs Feng | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Ultimate vs Victor | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Ultimate vs Lidia | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Ultimate vs Bryan | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Ultimate vs Clive | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Ultimate vs Jack-8 | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Ultimate vs Asuka | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Ultimate vs Lili | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Ultimate vs Lee | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Ultimate vs Zafina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Ultimate vs Paul | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.