| Matthew vs Kazuya | 88–83–1 | 51.46% |
| Matthew vs Jin | 81–67 | 54.73% |
| Matthew vs Bryan | 46–68 | 40.35% |
| Matthew vs Heihachi | 49–52–1 | 48.51% |
| Matthew vs King | 43–46 | 48.31% |
| Matthew vs Clive | 39–41 | 48.75% |
| Matthew vs Steve | 45–26 | 63.38% |
| Matthew vs Dragunov | 34–33 | 50.75% |
| Matthew vs Reina | 33–22 | 60.00% |
| Matthew vs Law | 23–31 | 42.59% |
| Matthew vs Devil Jin | 29–25 | 53.70% |
| Matthew vs Hwoarang | 24–25 | 48.98% |
| Matthew vs Yoshimitsu | 20–25 | 44.44% |
| Matthew vs Victor | 26–17 | 60.47% |
| Matthew vs Jun | 16–22 | 42.11% |
| Matthew vs Lars | 11–18 | 37.93% |
| Matthew vs Paul | 13–15 | 46.43% |
| Matthew vs Jack-8 | 12–16 | 42.86% |
| Matthew vs Azucena | 10–18 | 35.71% |
| Matthew vs Lili | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| Matthew vs Lee | 12–14 | 46.15% |
| Matthew vs Nina | 10–13 | 43.48% |
| Matthew vs Lidia | 14–8 | 63.64% |
| Matthew vs Claudio | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| Matthew vs Asuka | 10–9 | 52.63% |
| Matthew vs Eddy | 10–8 | 55.56% |
| Matthew vs Feng | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Matthew vs Alisa | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Matthew vs Shaheen | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Matthew vs Xiaoyu | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Matthew vs Kuma | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Matthew vs Leroy | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Matthew vs Leo | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Matthew vs Zafina | 3–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.