| Hikaru vs Kazuya | 51–49 | 51.00% |
| Hikaru vs Hwoarang | 47–47 | 50.00% |
| Hikaru vs Jin | 46–48 | 48.94% |
| Hikaru vs Reina | 47–34 | 58.02% |
| Hikaru vs Bryan | 37–35 | 51.39% |
| Hikaru vs King | 41–25 | 62.12% |
| Hikaru vs Paul | 25–34 | 42.37% |
| Hikaru vs Jun | 26–26 | 50.00% |
| Hikaru vs Xiaoyu | 33–18 | 64.71% |
| Hikaru vs Lars | 21–26 | 44.68% |
| Hikaru vs Asuka | 19–23 | 45.24% |
| Hikaru vs Alisa | 13–28 | 31.71% |
| Hikaru vs Law | 26–14 | 65.00% |
| Hikaru vs Azucena | 30–10 | 75.00% |
| Hikaru vs Raven | 18–22 | 45.00% |
| Hikaru vs Heihachi | 17–23 | 42.50% |
| Hikaru vs Steve | 22–17 | 56.41% |
| Hikaru vs Jack-8 | 22–16 | 57.89% |
| Hikaru vs Victor | 13–22 | 37.14% |
| Hikaru vs Lili | 16–18 | 47.06% |
| Hikaru vs Dragunov | 22–10 | 68.75% |
| Hikaru vs Lee | 16–16 | 50.00% |
| Hikaru vs Yoshimitsu | 22–9 | 70.97% |
| Hikaru vs Feng | 12–18 | 40.00% |
| Hikaru vs Leo | 15–14 | 51.72% |
| Hikaru vs Devil Jin | 17–11 | 60.71% |
| Hikaru vs Nina | 15–11 | 57.69% |
| Hikaru vs Leroy | 14–11 | 56.00% |
| Hikaru vs Lidia | 14–11 | 56.00% |
| Hikaru vs Eddy | 13–10 | 56.52% |
| Hikaru vs Claudio | 7–14 | 33.33% |
| Hikaru vs Clive | 8–12 | 40.00% |
| Hikaru vs Kuma | 7–12 | 36.84% |
| Hikaru vs Zafina | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Hikaru vs Shaheen | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Hikaru vs Panda | 2–3 | 40.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.