| Random man vs Jin | 32–33 | 49.23% |
| Random man vs Steve | 40–16 | 71.43% |
| Random man vs King | 28–27 | 50.91% |
| Random man vs Hwoarang | 28–26 | 51.85% |
| Random man vs Bryan | 28–17 | 62.22% |
| Random man vs Reina | 25–19 | 56.82% |
| Random man vs Eddy | 21–22 | 48.84% |
| Random man vs Law | 22–20 | 52.38% |
| Random man vs Kazuya | 18–16 | 52.94% |
| Random man vs Paul | 20–13 | 60.61% |
| Random man vs Yoshimitsu | 16–16 | 50.00% |
| Random man vs Lili | 16–16 | 50.00% |
| Random man vs Dragunov | 11–20 | 35.48% |
| Random man vs Asuka | 11–19 | 36.67% |
| Random man vs Nina | 10–19 | 34.48% |
| Random man vs Azucena | 13–15 | 46.43% |
| Random man vs Lars | 12–13 | 48.00% |
| Random man vs Xiaoyu | 9–15 | 37.50% |
| Random man vs Leo | 11–9 | 55.00% |
| Random man vs Kuma | 8–12 | 40.00% |
| Random man vs Jack-8 | 7–12 | 36.84% |
| Random man vs Lee | 4–15 | 21.05% |
| Random man vs Jun | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Random man vs Raven | 10–6 | 62.50% |
| Random man vs Claudio | 3–9 | 25.00% |
| Random man vs Feng | 0–11 | 0.00% |
| Random man vs Alisa | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Random man vs Leroy | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| Random man vs Devil Jin | 8–1 | 88.89% |
| Random man vs Shaheen | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Random man vs Victor | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Random man vs Zafina | 4–1 | 80.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.