| Nova vs Clive | 16–40 | 28.57% |
| Nova vs Reina | 14–38 | 26.92% |
| Nova vs Jin | 12–22 | 35.29% |
| Nova vs Law | 6–25 | 19.35% |
| Nova vs Lili | 9–17 | 34.62% |
| Nova vs Steve | 5–18 | 21.74% |
| Nova vs Heihachi | 7–15 | 31.82% |
| Nova vs Hwoarang | 1–19 | 5.00% |
| Nova vs King | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Nova vs Leroy | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| Nova vs Nina | 4–12 | 25.00% |
| Nova vs Azucena | 5–11 | 31.25% |
| Nova vs Alisa | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Nova vs Zafina | 3–12 | 20.00% |
| Nova vs Kazuya | 5–9 | 35.71% |
| Nova vs Victor | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Nova vs Dragunov | 2–11 | 15.38% |
| Nova vs Jun | 1–12 | 7.69% |
| Nova vs Xiaoyu | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Nova vs Lars | 3–9 | 25.00% |
| Nova vs Eddy | 2–10 | 16.67% |
| Nova vs Lidia | 3–9 | 25.00% |
| Nova vs Paul | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Nova vs Lee | 3–8 | 27.27% |
| Nova vs Yoshimitsu | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Nova vs Bryan | 0–8 | 0.00% |
| Nova vs Jack-8 | 1–7 | 12.50% |
| Nova vs Leo | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| Nova vs Devil Jin | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| Nova vs Feng | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Nova vs Shaheen | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Nova vs Asuka | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Nova vs Claudio | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Nova vs Kuma | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Nova vs Raven | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Nova vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.