| Nova vs King | 38–66 | 36.54% |
| Nova vs Steve | 49–51 | 49.00% |
| Nova vs Kazuya | 59–37 | 61.46% |
| Nova vs Eddy | 42–38 | 52.50% |
| Nova vs Reina | 38–41 | 48.10% |
| Nova vs Jin | 33–44 | 42.86% |
| Nova vs Lili | 27–32 | 45.76% |
| Nova vs Lidia | 31–28 | 52.54% |
| Nova vs Hwoarang | 32–26 | 55.17% |
| Nova vs Bryan | 28–30 | 48.28% |
| Nova vs Dragunov | 18–40 | 31.03% |
| Nova vs Law | 26–28 | 48.15% |
| Nova vs Clive | 20–33 | 37.74% |
| Nova vs Nina | 24–25 | 48.98% |
| Nova vs Paul | 18–23 | 43.90% |
| Nova vs Azucena | 24–15 | 61.54% |
| Nova vs Leroy | 20–18 | 52.63% |
| Nova vs Xiaoyu | 23–14 | 62.16% |
| Nova vs Feng | 14–21 | 40.00% |
| Nova vs Yoshimitsu | 18–15 | 54.55% |
| Nova vs Lars | 13–20 | 39.39% |
| Nova vs Lee | 17–16 | 51.52% |
| Nova vs Victor | 17–16 | 51.52% |
| Nova vs Asuka | 16–14 | 53.33% |
| Nova vs Jun | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| Nova vs Jack-8 | 9–14 | 39.13% |
| Nova vs Armor King | 14–9 | 60.87% |
| Nova vs Devil Jin | 8–14 | 36.36% |
| Nova vs Raven | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Nova vs Claudio | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Nova vs Leo | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Nova vs Alisa | 8–8–1 | 50.00% |
| Nova vs Kuma | 13–3 | 81.25% |
| Nova vs Heihachi | 2–10 | 16.67% |
| Nova vs Zafina | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| Nova vs Shaheen | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| Nova vs Panda | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Nova vs Fahkumram | 1–5 | 16.67% |
| Nova vs Anna | 2–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.