| Tolly vs Jin | 42–29 | 59.15% |
| Tolly vs Kazuya | 40–22 | 64.52% |
| Tolly vs Steve | 39–19 | 67.24% |
| Tolly vs King | 28–29 | 49.12% |
| Tolly vs Reina | 31–24 | 56.36% |
| Tolly vs Clive | 28–23 | 54.90% |
| Tolly vs Fahkumram | 21–21 | 50.00% |
| Tolly vs Bryan | 19–21 | 47.50% |
| Tolly vs Asuka | 19–19 | 50.00% |
| Tolly vs Law | 17–18 | 48.57% |
| Tolly vs Yoshimitsu | 16–19 | 45.71% |
| Tolly vs Lili | 18–17 | 51.43% |
| Tolly vs Paul | 23–11 | 67.65% |
| Tolly vs Jun | 23–11 | 67.65% |
| Tolly vs Eddy | 18–14 | 56.25% |
| Tolly vs Nina | 15–16 | 48.39% |
| Tolly vs Lars | 17–13 | 56.67% |
| Tolly vs Lee | 14–15 | 48.28% |
| Tolly vs Dragunov | 11–17 | 39.29% |
| Tolly vs Hwoarang | 11–15 | 42.31% |
| Tolly vs Azucena | 15–11 | 57.69% |
| Tolly vs Xiaoyu | 12–13 | 48.00% |
| Tolly vs Leo | 16–8 | 66.67% |
| Tolly vs Heihachi | 16–7 | 69.57% |
| Tolly vs Jack-8 | 13–8 | 61.90% |
| Tolly vs Victor | 15–6 | 71.43% |
| Tolly vs Kuma | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Tolly vs Leroy | 9–7 | 56.25% |
| Tolly vs Anna | 12–4 | 75.00% |
| Tolly vs Alisa | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Tolly vs Raven | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Tolly vs Devil Jin | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Tolly vs Lidia | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Tolly vs Armor King | 8–3 | 72.73% |
| Tolly vs Shaheen | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Tolly vs Claudio | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Tolly vs Panda | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Tolly vs Feng | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Tolly vs Zafina | 1–2 | 33.33% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.