| Ciel vs Heihachi | 23–32 | 41.82% |
| Ciel vs Bryan | 26–25 | 50.98% |
| Ciel vs King | 26–24 | 52.00% |
| Ciel vs Hwoarang | 26–22 | 54.17% |
| Ciel vs Kazuya | 29–13 | 69.05% |
| Ciel vs Dragunov | 25–16 | 60.98% |
| Ciel vs Armor King | 16–21 | 43.24% |
| Ciel vs Devil Jin | 19–17 | 52.78% |
| Ciel vs Lili | 25–11 | 69.44% |
| Ciel vs Lee | 18–18 | 50.00% |
| Ciel vs Eddy | 19–17 | 52.78% |
| Ciel vs Yoshimitsu | 18–17 | 51.43% |
| Ciel vs Nina | 20–12 | 62.50% |
| Ciel vs Reina | 20–12 | 62.50% |
| Ciel vs Alisa | 18–9 | 66.67% |
| Ciel vs Paul | 11–14 | 44.00% |
| Ciel vs Jin | 14–11 | 56.00% |
| Ciel vs Lars | 13–12 | 52.00% |
| Ciel vs Steve | 15–7 | 68.18% |
| Ciel vs Shaheen | 15–7 | 68.18% |
| Ciel vs Jun | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Ciel vs Victor | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Ciel vs Feng | 15–4 | 78.95% |
| Ciel vs Leo | 13–5 | 72.22% |
| Ciel vs Azucena | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| Ciel vs Law | 9–2 | 81.82% |
| Ciel vs Xiaoyu | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| Ciel vs Claudio | 9–2 | 81.82% |
| Ciel vs Kuma | 0–6 | 0.00% |
| Ciel vs Asuka | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Ciel vs Jack-8 | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Lidia | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Ciel vs Fahkumram | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Ciel vs Zafina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Ciel vs Leroy | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Ciel vs Raven | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Ciel vs Clive | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.