| TheWinterWaffle vs Jin | 27–37 | 42.19% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs King | 30–24 | 55.56% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Yoshimitsu | 31–19 | 62.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Lili | 18–29 | 38.30% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Reina | 23–18 | 56.10% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Hwoarang | 16–24 | 40.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Kazuya | 24–16 | 60.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Dragunov | 14–24 | 36.84% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Bryan | 11–23 | 32.35% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Steve | 16–11 | 59.26% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Eddy | 10–17 | 37.04% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Jun | 9–15 | 37.50% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Law | 8–14 | 36.36% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Asuka | 16–6 | 72.73% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Feng | 5–17 | 22.73% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Raven | 6–14 | 30.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Nina | 5–13 | 27.78% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Lee | 7–11 | 38.89% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Azucena | 6–12 | 33.33% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Devil Jin | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Victor | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Claudio | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Shaheen | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Jack-8 | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Xiaoyu | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Leo | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Lidia | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Lars | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Kuma | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Armor King | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Paul | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Panda | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Leroy | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Alisa | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Zafina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Clive | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Anna | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| TheWinterWaffle vs Heihachi | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.