| hot garbage vs King | 48–73 | 39.67% |
| hot garbage vs Kazuya | 68–53 | 56.20% |
| hot garbage vs Reina | 54–66 | 45.00% |
| hot garbage vs Jin | 54–63 | 46.15% |
| hot garbage vs Bryan | 30–57 | 34.48% |
| hot garbage vs Steve | 41–43 | 48.81% |
| hot garbage vs Hwoarang | 39–38 | 50.65% |
| hot garbage vs Lili | 30–35 | 46.15% |
| hot garbage vs Jun | 26–32 | 44.83% |
| hot garbage vs Dragunov | 26–25 | 50.98% |
| hot garbage vs Asuka | 25–25 | 50.00% |
| hot garbage vs Yoshimitsu | 17–31 | 35.42% |
| hot garbage vs Lee | 27–21 | 56.25% |
| hot garbage vs Feng | 15–32 | 31.91% |
| hot garbage vs Paul | 18–25 | 41.86% |
| hot garbage vs Law | 11–30 | 26.83% |
| hot garbage vs Xiaoyu | 23–16 | 58.97% |
| hot garbage vs Azucena | 16–23 | 41.03% |
| hot garbage vs Devil Jin | 19–18 | 51.35% |
| hot garbage vs Leo | 19–17 | 52.78% |
| hot garbage vs Eddy | 13–23 | 36.11% |
| hot garbage vs Victor | 13–22 | 37.14% |
| hot garbage vs Lars | 14–16 | 46.67% |
| hot garbage vs Alisa | 9–21 | 30.00% |
| hot garbage vs Nina | 16–12 | 57.14% |
| hot garbage vs Lidia | 18–10 | 64.29% |
| hot garbage vs Heihachi | 10–18 | 35.71% |
| hot garbage vs Claudio | 15–12 | 55.56% |
| hot garbage vs Shaheen | 14–12 | 53.85% |
| hot garbage vs Kuma | 8–17 | 32.00% |
| hot garbage vs Leroy | 14–11 | 56.00% |
| hot garbage vs Raven | 4–20 | 16.67% |
| hot garbage vs Jack-8 | 6–11 | 35.29% |
| hot garbage vs Zafina | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| hot garbage vs Panda | 0–3 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.