| Lightning vs King | 9–16 | 36.00% |
| Lightning vs Reina | 11–8 | 57.89% |
| Lightning vs Yoshimitsu | 9–9 | 50.00% |
| Lightning vs Jin | 7–9 | 43.75% |
| Lightning vs Eddy | 4–12 | 25.00% |
| Lightning vs Law | 5–9 | 35.71% |
| Lightning vs Dragunov | 4–10 | 28.57% |
| Lightning vs Nina | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| Lightning vs Jun | 4–10 | 28.57% |
| Lightning vs Hwoarang | 2–10 | 16.67% |
| Lightning vs Steve | 3–8 | 27.27% |
| Lightning vs Lars | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Lightning vs Lee | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Lightning vs Azucena | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Lightning vs Kazuya | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Lightning vs Victor | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Lightning vs Xiaoyu | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Lightning vs Lili | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Lightning vs Asuka | 0–5 | 0.00% |
| Lightning vs Leo | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Lightning vs Paul | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Lightning vs Jack-8 | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Lightning vs Lidia | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Lightning vs Bryan | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Lightning vs Feng | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Lightning vs Kuma | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Lightning vs Zafina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Lightning vs Raven | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Lightning vs Alisa | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Lightning vs Claudio | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Lightning vs Shaheen | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.