| Nova Smoke vs Armor King | 18–17 | 51.43% |
| Nova Smoke vs Jin | 13–13 | 50.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Reina | 18–4 | 81.82% |
| Nova Smoke vs Hwoarang | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Dragunov | 9–9 | 50.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs King | 11–6 | 64.71% |
| Nova Smoke vs Bryan | 4–13 | 23.53% |
| Nova Smoke vs Kazuya | 5–12 | 29.41% |
| Nova Smoke vs Steve | 16–1 | 94.12% |
| Nova Smoke vs Jun | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Nova Smoke vs Lili | 10–4 | 71.43% |
| Nova Smoke vs Yoshimitsu | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Nova Smoke vs Victor | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| Nova Smoke vs Eddy | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Nova Smoke vs Lidia | 12–1 | 92.31% |
| Nova Smoke vs Devil Jin | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Nina | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Law | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Nova Smoke vs Alisa | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Nova Smoke vs Lee | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| Nova Smoke vs Azucena | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Nova Smoke vs Heihachi | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Nova Smoke vs Paul | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Nova Smoke vs Xiaoyu | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Nova Smoke vs Anna | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| Nova Smoke vs Jack-8 | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Leo | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Leroy | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Lars | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Raven | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Asuka | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Clive | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Nova Smoke vs Fahkumram | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Nova Smoke vs Feng | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Claudio | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Nova Smoke vs Shaheen | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.