| Watermelon ice vs King | 55–65 | 45.83% |
| Watermelon ice vs Jin | 52–59 | 46.85% |
| Watermelon ice vs Hwoarang | 67–43 | 60.91% |
| Watermelon ice vs Kazuya | 42–53 | 44.21% |
| Watermelon ice vs Yoshimitsu | 48–43 | 52.75% |
| Watermelon ice vs Reina | 44–45 | 49.44% |
| Watermelon ice vs Bryan | 44–37 | 54.32% |
| Watermelon ice vs Law | 42–37 | 53.16% |
| Watermelon ice vs Dragunov | 38–33 | 53.52% |
| Watermelon ice vs Eddy | 37–34 | 52.11% |
| Watermelon ice vs Paul | 32–31 | 50.79% |
| Watermelon ice vs Lili | 30–31 | 49.18% |
| Watermelon ice vs Lars | 29–24 | 54.72% |
| Watermelon ice vs Lee | 29–24 | 54.72% |
| Watermelon ice vs Alisa | 23–29 | 44.23% |
| Watermelon ice vs Feng | 23–28 | 45.10% |
| Watermelon ice vs Devil Jin | 16–30 | 34.78% |
| Watermelon ice vs Nina | 18–28 | 39.13% |
| Watermelon ice vs Jun | 18–28 | 39.13% |
| Watermelon ice vs Azucena | 22–21 | 51.16% |
| Watermelon ice vs Victor | 29–12 | 70.73% |
| Watermelon ice vs Steve | 17–23 | 42.50% |
| Watermelon ice vs Asuka | 19–21 | 47.50% |
| Watermelon ice vs Raven | 24–16 | 60.00% |
| Watermelon ice vs Xiaoyu | 15–12 | 55.56% |
| Watermelon ice vs Jack-8 | 7–13 | 35.00% |
| Watermelon ice vs Leo | 7–13 | 35.00% |
| Watermelon ice vs Shaheen | 11–9 | 55.00% |
| Watermelon ice vs Kuma | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Watermelon ice vs Leroy | 8–11 | 42.11% |
| Watermelon ice vs Zafina | 4–12 | 25.00% |
| Watermelon ice vs Heihachi | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Watermelon ice vs Claudio | 3–8 | 27.27% |
| Watermelon ice vs Lidia | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Watermelon ice vs Panda | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Watermelon ice vs Clive | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.