| Winter Mellow vs Heihachi | 27–30 | 47.37% |
| Winter Mellow vs Jin | 23–27 | 46.00% |
| Winter Mellow vs Dragunov | 25–22 | 53.19% |
| Winter Mellow vs King | 33–10 | 76.74% |
| Winter Mellow vs Bryan | 15–26 | 36.59% |
| Winter Mellow vs Kazuya | 22–19 | 53.66% |
| Winter Mellow vs Reina | 20–17 | 54.05% |
| Winter Mellow vs Steve | 16–18 | 47.06% |
| Winter Mellow vs Armor King | 20–14 | 58.82% |
| Winter Mellow vs Asuka | 17–12 | 58.62% |
| Winter Mellow vs Miary Zo | 17–11 | 60.71% |
| Winter Mellow vs Lili | 14–9 | 60.87% |
| Winter Mellow vs Law | 10–12 | 45.45% |
| Winter Mellow vs Lee | 17–5 | 77.27% |
| Winter Mellow vs Yoshimitsu | 12–9 | 57.14% |
| Winter Mellow vs Feng | 5–14 | 26.32% |
| Winter Mellow vs Hwoarang | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| Winter Mellow vs Claudio | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| Winter Mellow vs Victor | 6–12 | 33.33% |
| Winter Mellow vs Devil Jin | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Winter Mellow vs Leo | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Winter Mellow vs Lidia | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Winter Mellow vs Alisa | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Winter Mellow vs Lars | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| Winter Mellow vs Nina | 10–3 | 76.92% |
| Winter Mellow vs Clive | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| Winter Mellow vs Shaheen | 9–3 | 75.00% |
| Winter Mellow vs Jun | 7–3 | 70.00% |
| Winter Mellow vs Azucena | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Winter Mellow vs Xiaoyu | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| Winter Mellow vs Eddy | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Winter Mellow vs Leroy | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Winter Mellow vs Paul | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Winter Mellow vs Anna | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Winter Mellow vs Fahkumram | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Winter Mellow vs Zafina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.