| Cakewarrior vs Kazuya | 109–90 | 54.77% |
| Cakewarrior vs Jin | 85–73 | 53.80% |
| Cakewarrior vs Bryan | 82–72 | 53.25% |
| Cakewarrior vs King | 49–74 | 39.84% |
| Cakewarrior vs Heihachi | 58–49 | 54.21% |
| Cakewarrior vs Steve | 58–48 | 54.72% |
| Cakewarrior vs Reina | 69–35 | 66.35% |
| Cakewarrior vs Hwoarang | 46–52 | 46.94% |
| Cakewarrior vs Lee | 40–54 | 42.55% |
| Cakewarrior vs Paul | 38–53 | 41.76% |
| Cakewarrior vs Lili | 48–42 | 53.33% |
| Cakewarrior vs Devil Jin | 45–39 | 53.57% |
| Cakewarrior vs Dragunov | 36–34 | 51.43% |
| Cakewarrior vs Law | 26–39 | 40.00% |
| Cakewarrior vs Eddy | 25–36 | 40.98% |
| Cakewarrior vs Clive | 32–29 | 52.46% |
| Cakewarrior vs Yoshimitsu | 30–30 | 50.00% |
| Cakewarrior vs Nina | 26–32 | 44.83% |
| Cakewarrior vs Asuka | 29–26 | 52.73% |
| Cakewarrior vs Lars | 28–23 | 54.90% |
| Cakewarrior vs Jun | 29–17 | 63.04% |
| Cakewarrior vs Jack-8 | 22–18 | 55.00% |
| Cakewarrior vs Xiaoyu | 19–20 | 48.72% |
| Cakewarrior vs Feng | 15–23 | 39.47% |
| Cakewarrior vs Alisa | 15–23 | 39.47% |
| Cakewarrior vs Leroy | 17–18 | 48.57% |
| Cakewarrior vs Zafina | 18–16 | 52.94% |
| Cakewarrior vs Leo | 16–10 | 61.54% |
| Cakewarrior vs Azucena | 13–13 | 50.00% |
| Cakewarrior vs Claudio | 7–17 | 29.17% |
| Cakewarrior vs Victor | 10–14 | 41.67% |
| Cakewarrior vs Raven | 4–18 | 18.18% |
| Cakewarrior vs Kuma | 11–10 | 52.38% |
| Cakewarrior vs Panda | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| Cakewarrior vs Lidia | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Cakewarrior vs Shaheen | 7–7 | 50.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.