| The Fern vs Jin | 64–44 | 59.26% |
| The Fern vs King | 53–51 | 50.96% |
| The Fern vs Kazuya | 44–43 | 50.57% |
| The Fern vs Law | 39–43 | 47.56% |
| The Fern vs Bryan | 32–35 | 47.76% |
| The Fern vs Hwoarang | 37–27 | 57.81% |
| The Fern vs Steve | 27–33 | 45.00% |
| The Fern vs Heihachi | 24–34 | 41.38% |
| The Fern vs Paul | 22–25 | 46.81% |
| The Fern vs Dragunov | 24–23 | 51.06% |
| The Fern vs Yoshimitsu | 19–21 | 47.50% |
| The Fern vs Lili | 18–21 | 46.15% |
| The Fern vs Jun | 23–16 | 58.97% |
| The Fern vs Eddy | 16–23 | 41.03% |
| The Fern vs Devil Jin | 15–23 | 39.47% |
| The Fern vs Lars | 17–20 | 45.95% |
| The Fern vs Xiaoyu | 17–17 | 50.00% |
| The Fern vs Asuka | 20–14 | 58.82% |
| The Fern vs Nina | 15–15 | 50.00% |
| The Fern vs Victor | 15–14 | 51.72% |
| The Fern vs Feng | 11–17 | 39.29% |
| The Fern vs Reina | 13–15 | 46.43% |
| The Fern vs Claudio | 10–17 | 37.04% |
| The Fern vs Leroy | 13–12 | 52.00% |
| The Fern vs Alisa | 8–14 | 36.36% |
| The Fern vs Raven | 10–12 | 45.45% |
| The Fern vs Azucena | 9–12 | 42.86% |
| The Fern vs Clive | 7–14 | 33.33% |
| The Fern vs Lee | 11–6 | 64.71% |
| The Fern vs Jack-8 | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| The Fern vs Kuma | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| The Fern vs Leo | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| The Fern vs Lidia | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| The Fern vs Shaheen | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| The Fern vs Panda | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| The Fern vs Zafina | 0–5 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.