| TopNotchToast vs Armor King | 14–4 | 77.78% |
| TopNotchToast vs Kazuya | 11–3 | 78.57% |
| TopNotchToast vs Steve | 9–1 | 90.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Bryan | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| TopNotchToast vs Heihachi | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| TopNotchToast vs Jin | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| TopNotchToast vs King | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| TopNotchToast vs Hwoarang | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Devil Jin | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Law | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Nina | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Anna | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Xiaoyu | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Asuka | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Feng | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| TopNotchToast vs Leo | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| TopNotchToast vs Reina | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| TopNotchToast vs Fahkumram | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| TopNotchToast vs Yoshimitsu | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Lili | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Lars | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Lee | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Jack-8 | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Dragunov | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Alisa | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Panda | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Zafina | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Leroy | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Jun | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Victor | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Eddy | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Lidia | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| TopNotchToast vs Clive | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.