| karnaval vs King | 6–17 | 26.09% |
| karnaval vs Jin | 6–13 | 31.58% |
| karnaval vs Steve | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| karnaval vs Law | 10–5 | 66.67% |
| karnaval vs Kazuya | 5–9 | 35.71% |
| karnaval vs Reina | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| karnaval vs Hwoarang | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| karnaval vs Dragunov | 2–9 | 18.18% |
| karnaval vs Yoshimitsu | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| karnaval vs Asuka | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| karnaval vs Jun | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| karnaval vs Lili | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| karnaval vs Victor | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| karnaval vs Anna | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| karnaval vs Claudio | 5–1 | 83.33% |
| karnaval vs Azucena | 1–5 | 16.67% |
| karnaval vs Raven | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| karnaval vs Paul | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| karnaval vs Devil Jin | 0–5 | 0.00% |
| karnaval vs Eddy | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| karnaval vs Fahkumram | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| karnaval vs Xiaoyu | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| karnaval vs Bryan | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| karnaval vs Lee | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| karnaval vs Leroy | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| karnaval vs Nina | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| karnaval vs Armor King | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| karnaval vs Lars | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| karnaval vs Zafina | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| karnaval vs Clive | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| karnaval vs Jack-8 | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| karnaval vs Alisa | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| karnaval vs Heihachi | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.