| Matcha minister vs Kazuya | 54–37 | 59.34% |
| Matcha minister vs King | 34–41 | 45.33% |
| Matcha minister vs Jin | 26–34 | 43.33% |
| Matcha minister vs Law | 23–31 | 42.59% |
| Matcha minister vs Dragunov | 22–31 | 41.51% |
| Matcha minister vs Heihachi | 30–15 | 66.67% |
| Matcha minister vs Devil Jin | 21–16 | 56.76% |
| Matcha minister vs Bryan | 18–18 | 50.00% |
| Matcha minister vs Paul | 13–19 | 40.62% |
| Matcha minister vs Steve | 14–17 | 45.16% |
| Matcha minister vs Hwoarang | 14–13 | 51.85% |
| Matcha minister vs Nina | 13–13 | 50.00% |
| Matcha minister vs Lili | 16–9 | 64.00% |
| Matcha minister vs Yoshimitsu | 13–11 | 54.17% |
| Matcha minister vs Reina | 15–7 | 68.18% |
| Matcha minister vs Feng | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| Matcha minister vs Fahkumram | 10–10 | 50.00% |
| Matcha minister vs Clive | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Matcha minister vs Anna | 9–9 | 50.00% |
| Matcha minister vs Victor | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Matcha minister vs Jun | 11–5 | 68.75% |
| Matcha minister vs Eddy | 7–9 | 43.75% |
| Matcha minister vs Asuka | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| Matcha minister vs Claudio | 10–5 | 66.67% |
| Matcha minister vs Lee | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Matcha minister vs Azucena | 7–8 | 46.67% |
| Matcha minister vs Lars | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Matcha minister vs Leroy | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Matcha minister vs Xiaoyu | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| Matcha minister vs Alisa | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Matcha minister vs Jack-8 | 0–8 | 0.00% |
| Matcha minister vs Lidia | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Matcha minister vs Armor King | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Matcha minister vs Leo | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Matcha minister vs Kuma | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| Matcha minister vs Shaheen | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Matcha minister vs Zafina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.