| Upper-moon vs Bryan | 47–59 | 44.34% |
| Upper-moon vs Kazuya | 50–55 | 47.62% |
| Upper-moon vs Jin | 45–54 | 45.45% |
| Upper-moon vs Armor King | 41–55 | 42.71% |
| Upper-moon vs Paul | 39–51 | 43.33% |
| Upper-moon vs Law | 52–37 | 58.43% |
| Upper-moon vs Dragunov | 34–51 | 40.00% |
| Upper-moon vs Reina | 33–49 | 40.24% |
| Upper-moon vs Fahkumram | 41–41 | 50.00% |
| Upper-moon vs King | 30–50 | 37.50% |
| Upper-moon vs Hwoarang | 42–38 | 52.50% |
| Upper-moon vs Steve | 42–32 | 56.76% |
| Upper-moon vs Lili | 29–42 | 40.85% |
| Upper-moon vs Asuka | 37–31 | 54.41% |
| Upper-moon vs Miary Zo | 37–29 | 56.06% |
| Upper-moon vs Lidia | 26–33 | 44.07% |
| Upper-moon vs Lars | 35–21 | 62.50% |
| Upper-moon vs Anna | 30–24 | 55.56% |
| Upper-moon vs Xiaoyu | 34–19 | 64.15% |
| Upper-moon vs Victor | 23–30 | 43.40% |
| Upper-moon vs Yoshimitsu | 22–29 | 43.14% |
| Upper-moon vs Heihachi | 21–30 | 41.18% |
| Upper-moon vs Devil Jin | 27–23 | 54.00% |
| Upper-moon vs Azucena | 25–24 | 51.02% |
| Upper-moon vs Jun | 29–15 | 65.91% |
| Upper-moon vs Alisa | 21–21 | 50.00% |
| Upper-moon vs Feng | 11–27 | 28.95% |
| Upper-moon vs Leo | 9–27 | 25.00% |
| Upper-moon vs Nina | 17–15 | 53.12% |
| Upper-moon vs Eddy | 16–15 | 51.61% |
| Upper-moon vs Leroy | 11–18 | 37.93% |
| Upper-moon vs Jack-8 | 13–15 | 46.43% |
| Upper-moon vs Claudio | 9–19 | 32.14% |
| Upper-moon vs Lee | 12–15 | 44.44% |
| Upper-moon vs Raven | 9–17 | 34.62% |
| Upper-moon vs Clive | 8–18 | 30.77% |
| Upper-moon vs Zafina | 11–13 | 45.83% |
| Upper-moon vs Shaheen | 6–15 | 28.57% |
| Upper-moon vs Kuma | 3–13 | 18.75% |
| Upper-moon vs Panda | 3–9 | 25.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.