| Rising star vs King | 71–69 | 50.71% |
| Rising star vs Reina | 57–48 | 54.29% |
| Rising star vs Jin | 44–55 | 44.44% |
| Rising star vs Kazuya | 39–57 | 40.62% |
| Rising star vs Steve | 44–51 | 46.32% |
| Rising star vs Law | 31–54 | 36.47% |
| Rising star vs Eddy | 26–48 | 35.14% |
| Rising star vs Bryan | 31–39 | 44.29% |
| Rising star vs Lili | 22–35 | 38.60% |
| Rising star vs Dragunov | 19–35 | 35.19% |
| Rising star vs Lee | 23–29 | 44.23% |
| Rising star vs Asuka | 22–27 | 44.90% |
| Rising star vs Lars | 16–33 | 32.65% |
| Rising star vs Hwoarang | 19–27 | 41.30% |
| Rising star vs Heihachi | 18–26 | 40.91% |
| Rising star vs Paul | 22–20 | 52.38% |
| Rising star vs Xiaoyu | 14–28 | 33.33% |
| Rising star vs Victor | 16–24 | 40.00% |
| Rising star vs Clive | 12–27 | 30.77% |
| Rising star vs Fahkumram | 15–23 | 39.47% |
| Rising star vs Yoshimitsu | 22–15 | 59.46% |
| Rising star vs Azucena | 16–19 | 45.71% |
| Rising star vs Anna | 15–20 | 42.86% |
| Rising star vs Jun | 14–20 | 41.18% |
| Rising star vs Feng | 15–18 | 45.45% |
| Rising star vs Claudio | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| Rising star vs Devil Jin | 16–13 | 55.17% |
| Rising star vs Leroy | 14–15 | 48.28% |
| Rising star vs Lidia | 12–17 | 41.38% |
| Rising star vs Armor King | 15–14 | 51.72% |
| Rising star vs Leo | 8–16 | 33.33% |
| Rising star vs Shaheen | 12–11 | 52.17% |
| Rising star vs Nina | 9–14 | 39.13% |
| Rising star vs Alisa | 12–10 | 54.55% |
| Rising star vs Raven | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| Rising star vs Jack-8 | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Rising star vs Kuma | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Rising star vs Zafina | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Rising star vs Panda | 4–2 | 66.67% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.