| Rafa vs King | 67–49 | 57.76% |
| Rafa vs Bryan | 51–41 | 55.43% |
| Rafa vs Reina | 44–41 | 51.76% |
| Rafa vs Jin | 41–41 | 50.00% |
| Rafa vs Kazuya | 34–28 | 54.84% |
| Rafa vs Steve | 26–33 | 44.07% |
| Rafa vs Lars | 25–31 | 44.64% |
| Rafa vs Eddy | 33–23 | 58.93% |
| Rafa vs Law | 25–30 | 45.45% |
| Rafa vs Dragunov | 31–24 | 56.36% |
| Rafa vs Asuka | 22–31 | 41.51% |
| Rafa vs Jun | 27–26 | 50.94% |
| Rafa vs Yoshimitsu | 29–21 | 58.00% |
| Rafa vs Hwoarang | 22–24 | 47.83% |
| Rafa vs Azucena | 27–19 | 58.70% |
| Rafa vs Lili | 24–21 | 53.33% |
| Rafa vs Heihachi | 19–26 | 42.22% |
| Rafa vs Feng | 21–21 | 50.00% |
| Rafa vs Nina | 21–20 | 51.22% |
| Rafa vs Victor | 23–18 | 56.10% |
| Rafa vs Paul | 19–18 | 51.35% |
| Rafa vs Xiaoyu | 16–12 | 57.14% |
| Rafa vs Alisa | 12–15 | 44.44% |
| Rafa vs Lee | 11–16 | 40.74% |
| Rafa vs Leroy | 14–11 | 56.00% |
| Rafa vs Leo | 15–8 | 65.22% |
| Rafa vs Claudio | 15–8 | 65.22% |
| Rafa vs Devil Jin | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| Rafa vs Lidia | 9–12 | 42.86% |
| Rafa vs Raven | 3–13 | 18.75% |
| Rafa vs Jack-8 | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Rafa vs Zafina | 2–9 | 18.18% |
| Rafa vs Shaheen | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| Rafa vs Anna | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Rafa vs Fahkumram | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Rafa vs Kuma | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| Rafa vs Clive | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Rafa vs Panda | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.