| Provoked vs Kazuya | 73–67 | 52.14% |
| Provoked vs King | 49–66 | 42.61% |
| Provoked vs Jin | 60–33 | 64.52% |
| Provoked vs Hwoarang | 40–52 | 43.48% |
| Provoked vs Steve | 48–42 | 53.33% |
| Provoked vs Reina | 43–47 | 47.78% |
| Provoked vs Bryan | 33–45 | 42.31% |
| Provoked vs Heihachi | 47–26 | 64.38% |
| Provoked vs Dragunov | 34–36 | 48.57% |
| Provoked vs Yoshimitsu | 30–32 | 48.39% |
| Provoked vs Law | 24–32 | 42.86% |
| Provoked vs Azucena | 29–25 | 53.70% |
| Provoked vs Clive | 26–28 | 48.15% |
| Provoked vs Xiaoyu | 22–29 | 43.14% |
| Provoked vs Paul | 27–23 | 54.00% |
| Provoked vs Jun | 24–26 | 48.00% |
| Provoked vs Lee | 22–24 | 47.83% |
| Provoked vs Lili | 24–19 | 55.81% |
| Provoked vs Nina | 25–15 | 62.50% |
| Provoked vs Asuka | 20–18 | 52.63% |
| Provoked vs Feng | 21–16 | 56.76% |
| Provoked vs Raven | 17–17 | 50.00% |
| Provoked vs Leo | 20–13 | 60.61% |
| Provoked vs Lidia | 13–18 | 41.94% |
| Provoked vs Victor | 14–16 | 46.67% |
| Provoked vs Eddy | 14–16 | 46.67% |
| Provoked vs Lars | 11–16 | 40.74% |
| Provoked vs Jack-8 | 15–11 | 57.69% |
| Provoked vs Claudio | 13–8 | 61.90% |
| Provoked vs Anna | 8–12 | 40.00% |
| Provoked vs Zafina | 7–12 | 36.84% |
| Provoked vs Alisa | 9–9 | 50.00% |
| Provoked vs Leroy | 14–4 | 77.78% |
| Provoked vs Devil Jin | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Provoked vs Armor King | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Provoked vs Panda | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Provoked vs Shaheen | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Provoked vs Fahkumram | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Provoked vs Kuma | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Provoked vs Miary Zo | 3–1 | 75.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.