| Lightning vs King | 10–6 | 62.50% |
| Lightning vs Eddy | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Lightning vs Kazuya | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| Lightning vs Steve | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| Lightning vs Hwoarang | 9–2 | 81.82% |
| Lightning vs Jin | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| Lightning vs Dragunov | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Lightning vs Leroy | 7–3 | 70.00% |
| Lightning vs Reina | 8–1 | 88.89% |
| Lightning vs Paul | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Lightning vs Alisa | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Lightning vs Asuka | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Lightning vs Kuma | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Lightning vs Azucena | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Lightning vs Victor | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Lightning vs Law | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Lightning vs Leo | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Lightning vs Jun | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Lightning vs Bryan | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Lightning vs Lili | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Lightning vs Claudio | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Lightning vs Raven | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Lightning vs Jack-8 | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Lightning vs Devil Jin | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Lightning vs Shaheen | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Lightning vs Nina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Lightning vs Panda | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Lightning vs Zafina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Lightning vs Xiaoyu | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.