| The Guy vs King | 63–69 | 47.73% |
| The Guy vs Jin | 45–59 | 43.27% |
| The Guy vs Reina | 49–51 | 49.00% |
| The Guy vs Kazuya | 48–50 | 48.98% |
| The Guy vs Steve | 47–46 | 50.54% |
| The Guy vs Law | 53–36 | 59.55% |
| The Guy vs Bryan | 46–42 | 52.27% |
| The Guy vs Hwoarang | 45–39 | 53.57% |
| The Guy vs Lili | 29–50 | 36.71% |
| The Guy vs Yoshimitsu | 44–31 | 58.67% |
| The Guy vs Paul | 32–39 | 45.07% |
| The Guy vs Azucena | 32–32 | 50.00% |
| The Guy vs Lars | 30–33 | 47.62% |
| The Guy vs Asuka | 34–23 | 59.65% |
| The Guy vs Dragunov | 37–20 | 64.91% |
| The Guy vs Devil Jin | 25–29 | 46.30% |
| The Guy vs Feng | 29–25 | 53.70% |
| The Guy vs Xiaoyu | 25–27 | 48.08% |
| The Guy vs Lee | 25–26 | 49.02% |
| The Guy vs Victor | 20–26 | 43.48% |
| The Guy vs Nina | 19–26 | 42.22% |
| The Guy vs Alisa | 22–22 | 50.00% |
| The Guy vs Jun | 23–18 | 56.10% |
| The Guy vs Eddy | 19–21 | 47.50% |
| The Guy vs Claudio | 11–24 | 31.43% |
| The Guy vs Leo | 19–14 | 57.58% |
| The Guy vs Heihachi | 15–17 | 46.88% |
| The Guy vs Jack-8 | 13–17 | 43.33% |
| The Guy vs Raven | 17–13 | 56.67% |
| The Guy vs Zafina | 11–14 | 44.00% |
| The Guy vs Kuma | 12–12 | 50.00% |
| The Guy vs Leroy | 13–8 | 61.90% |
| The Guy vs Lidia | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| The Guy vs Shaheen | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| The Guy vs Clive | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| The Guy vs Anna | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| The Guy vs Fahkumram | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.