| Hotwinter vs Jin | 27–41 | 39.71% |
| Hotwinter vs Reina | 28–28 | 50.00% |
| Hotwinter vs Kazuya | 20–29 | 40.82% |
| Hotwinter vs Azucena | 22–15 | 59.46% |
| Hotwinter vs King | 16–15 | 51.61% |
| Hotwinter vs Eddy | 5–21 | 19.23% |
| Hotwinter vs Paul | 10–15 | 40.00% |
| Hotwinter vs Jun | 14–10 | 58.33% |
| Hotwinter vs Lili | 7–16 | 30.43% |
| Hotwinter vs Victor | 14–8 | 63.64% |
| Hotwinter vs Steve | 11–10 | 52.38% |
| Hotwinter vs Bryan | 9–10 | 47.37% |
| Hotwinter vs Lee | 4–13 | 23.53% |
| Hotwinter vs Raven | 4–11 | 26.67% |
| Hotwinter vs Dragunov | 2–12 | 14.29% |
| Hotwinter vs Shaheen | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| Hotwinter vs Yoshimitsu | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Hotwinter vs Asuka | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Hotwinter vs Feng | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Hotwinter vs Law | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Hotwinter vs Xiaoyu | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Hotwinter vs Lars | 2–10 | 16.67% |
| Hotwinter vs Hwoarang | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Hotwinter vs Claudio | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Hotwinter vs Nina | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Hotwinter vs Devil Jin | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Hotwinter vs Zafina | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Hotwinter vs Leroy | 6–0 | 100.00% |
| Hotwinter vs Alisa | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Hotwinter vs Jack-8 | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Hotwinter vs Leo | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Hotwinter vs Kuma | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.