| Rafael vs Reina | 21–10 | 67.74% |
| Rafael vs Miary Zo | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Rafael vs Asuka | 1–16 | 5.88% |
| Rafael vs Hwoarang | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| Rafael vs Steve | 7–9 | 43.75% |
| Rafael vs Lili | 5–11 | 31.25% |
| Rafael vs Kazuya | 5–9 | 35.71% |
| Rafael vs King | 2–11 | 15.38% |
| Rafael vs Dragunov | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| Rafael vs Law | 2–8 | 20.00% |
| Rafael vs Xiaoyu | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Rafael vs Jin | 3–5 | 37.50% |
| Rafael vs Claudio | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Rafael vs Paul | 0–5 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Bryan | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Rafael vs Lars | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Rafael vs Clive | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Rafael vs Jack-8 | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Rafael vs Shaheen | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Fahkumram | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Rafael vs Lee | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Rafael vs Yoshimitsu | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Feng | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Leo | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Jun | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Azucena | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Raven | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Eddy | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Heihachi | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Anna | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Rafael vs Armor King | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Devil Jin | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Rafael vs Alisa | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.