| Pastry vs Jin | 8–17 | 32.00% |
| Pastry vs Kazuya | 12–11 | 52.17% |
| Pastry vs Reina | 16–6 | 72.73% |
| Pastry vs Eddy | 10–9 | 52.63% |
| Pastry vs Yoshimitsu | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Pastry vs Hwoarang | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Pastry vs Steve | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Pastry vs Law | 7–9 | 43.75% |
| Pastry vs King | 5–11 | 31.25% |
| Pastry vs Azucena | 11–5 | 68.75% |
| Pastry vs Bryan | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Pastry vs Victor | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Pastry vs Paul | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Pastry vs Feng | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Pastry vs Lee | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Pastry vs Asuka | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| Pastry vs Lili | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Pastry vs Devil Jin | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Pastry vs Jun | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Pastry vs Dragunov | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Pastry vs Nina | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Pastry vs Anna | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Pastry vs Lars | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Pastry vs Leroy | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Pastry vs Lidia | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Pastry vs Xiaoyu | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| Pastry vs Zafina | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Pastry vs Raven | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Pastry vs Jack-8 | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Pastry vs Heihachi | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Pastry vs Alisa | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Pastry vs Clive | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.