| Promise vs Jin | 21–17 | 55.26% |
| Promise vs Reina | 14–10 | 58.33% |
| Promise vs Lili | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Promise vs Yoshimitsu | 12–6 | 66.67% |
| Promise vs Eddy | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Promise vs Hwoarang | 11–5 | 68.75% |
| Promise vs Bryan | 11–5 | 68.75% |
| Promise vs Xiaoyu | 5–9 | 35.71% |
| Promise vs Jun | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Promise vs King | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Promise vs Kazuya | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Promise vs Steve | 7–4 | 63.64% |
| Promise vs Dragunov | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Promise vs Victor | 1–10 | 9.09% |
| Promise vs Feng | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| Promise vs Leo | 7–3 | 70.00% |
| Promise vs Jack-8 | 4–5 | 44.44% |
| Promise vs Asuka | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Promise vs Alisa | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Promise vs Raven | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Promise vs Law | 1–6 | 14.29% |
| Promise vs Lee | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Promise vs Azucena | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Promise vs Lars | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Promise vs Leroy | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Promise vs Devil Jin | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Promise vs Shaheen | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Promise vs Nina | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Promise vs Claudio | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Promise vs Kuma | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Promise vs Paul | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Promise vs Panda | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.