| Messiah vs Kazuya | 30–68 | 30.61% |
| Messiah vs Reina | 38–41 | 48.10% |
| Messiah vs Jin | 28–23 | 54.90% |
| Messiah vs Law | 20–29 | 40.82% |
| Messiah vs Bryan | 20–25 | 44.44% |
| Messiah vs Heihachi | 18–23 | 43.90% |
| Messiah vs Dragunov | 8–28 | 22.22% |
| Messiah vs King | 12–20 | 37.50% |
| Messiah vs Jun | 12–18 | 40.00% |
| Messiah vs Steve | 14–15 | 48.28% |
| Messiah vs Asuka | 9–17 | 34.62% |
| Messiah vs Lili | 11–15 | 42.31% |
| Messiah vs Alisa | 11–15 | 42.31% |
| Messiah vs Paul | 13–11 | 54.17% |
| Messiah vs Hwoarang | 8–14 | 36.36% |
| Messiah vs Victor | 16–6 | 72.73% |
| Messiah vs Xiaoyu | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| Messiah vs Devil Jin | 8–13 | 38.10% |
| Messiah vs Nina | 4–17 | 19.05% |
| Messiah vs Feng | 6–14 | 30.00% |
| Messiah vs Lars | 7–13 | 35.00% |
| Messiah vs Eddy | 6–13 | 31.58% |
| Messiah vs Kuma | 1–14 | 6.67% |
| Messiah vs Azucena | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Messiah vs Yoshimitsu | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| Messiah vs Leo | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Messiah vs Jack-8 | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Lee | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Miary Zo | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| Messiah vs Anna | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Messiah vs Claudio | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Lidia | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Clive | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Messiah vs Leroy | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Messiah vs Panda | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Messiah vs Shaheen | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Zafina | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Messiah vs Raven | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.