| Smokey Bear vs Jin | 60–59 | 50.42% |
| Smokey Bear vs King | 63–48 | 56.76% |
| Smokey Bear vs Reina | 48–39 | 55.17% |
| Smokey Bear vs Eddy | 48–35 | 57.83% |
| Smokey Bear vs Steve | 41–33 | 55.41% |
| Smokey Bear vs Dragunov | 29–42 | 40.85% |
| Smokey Bear vs Law | 25–44 | 36.23% |
| Smokey Bear vs Kazuya | 31–38 | 44.93% |
| Smokey Bear vs Bryan | 33–33 | 50.00% |
| Smokey Bear vs Hwoarang | 36–29 | 55.38% |
| Smokey Bear vs Clive | 26–30 | 46.43% |
| Smokey Bear vs Heihachi | 24–22 | 52.17% |
| Smokey Bear vs Victor | 23–22 | 51.11% |
| Smokey Bear vs Asuka | 25–19 | 56.82% |
| Smokey Bear vs Lars | 26–18 | 59.09% |
| Smokey Bear vs Jun | 23–21 | 52.27% |
| Smokey Bear vs Leo | 18–24 | 42.86% |
| Smokey Bear vs Azucena | 26–16 | 61.90% |
| Smokey Bear vs Paul | 24–17 | 58.54% |
| Smokey Bear vs Yoshimitsu | 20–20 | 50.00% |
| Smokey Bear vs Lili | 19–17 | 52.78% |
| Smokey Bear vs Lee | 17–19 | 47.22% |
| Smokey Bear vs Xiaoyu | 21–12 | 63.64% |
| Smokey Bear vs Nina | 16–17 | 48.48% |
| Smokey Bear vs Devil Jin | 11–19 | 36.67% |
| Smokey Bear vs Raven | 13–17 | 43.33% |
| Smokey Bear vs Jack-8 | 16–12 | 57.14% |
| Smokey Bear vs Anna | 14–12 | 53.85% |
| Smokey Bear vs Claudio | 8–14 | 36.36% |
| Smokey Bear vs Lidia | 7–13–1 | 35.00% |
| Smokey Bear vs Feng | 11–8 | 57.89% |
| Smokey Bear vs Alisa | 8–11 | 42.11% |
| Smokey Bear vs Shaheen | 11–8 | 57.89% |
| Smokey Bear vs Kuma | 12–7 | 63.16% |
| Smokey Bear vs Leroy | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Smokey Bear vs Zafina | 9–1 | 90.00% |
| Smokey Bear vs Fahkumram | 0–7 | 0.00% |
| Smokey Bear vs Panda | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.