| Cake vs King | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Cake vs Hwoarang | 10–4 | 71.43% |
| Cake vs Eddy | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Cake vs Bryan | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| Cake vs Steve | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| Cake vs Reina | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Cake vs Lee | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Cake vs Yoshimitsu | 11–0 | 100.00% |
| Cake vs Kazuya | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| Cake vs Dragunov | 0–8 | 0.00% |
| Cake vs Azucena | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Cake vs Heihachi | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Cake vs Victor | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Cake vs Paul | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Cake vs Jin | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Cake vs Devil Jin | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Cake vs Feng | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Cake vs Lars | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Cake vs Nina | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Cake vs Kuma | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Cake vs Alisa | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Cake vs Claudio | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Cake vs Leroy | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Cake vs Lidia | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| Cake vs Asuka | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Cake vs Jun | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Cake vs Law | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Cake vs Raven | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Cake vs Xiaoyu | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Cake vs Lili | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Cake vs Leo | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Cake vs Shaheen | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Cake vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.