| MelancholyTree vs Steve | 10–15 | 40.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs King | 5–17 | 22.73% |
| MelancholyTree vs Reina | 12–10 | 54.55% |
| MelancholyTree vs Kazuya | 11–10 | 52.38% |
| MelancholyTree vs Lidia | 5–11 | 31.25% |
| MelancholyTree vs Asuka | 3–12 | 20.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Jin | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Law | 4–9 | 30.77% |
| MelancholyTree vs Jun | 2–11 | 15.38% |
| MelancholyTree vs Hwoarang | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| MelancholyTree vs Dragunov | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Lee | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Victor | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Bryan | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| MelancholyTree vs Lili | 5–4 | 55.56% |
| MelancholyTree vs Paul | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| MelancholyTree vs Feng | 0–7 | 0.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Lars | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| MelancholyTree vs Kuma | 0–7 | 0.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Eddy | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| MelancholyTree vs Yoshimitsu | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Shaheen | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Azucena | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Devil Jin | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| MelancholyTree vs Alisa | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| MelancholyTree vs Nina | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| MelancholyTree vs Leroy | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Raven | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| MelancholyTree vs Xiaoyu | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Jack-8 | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Claudio | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Panda | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| MelancholyTree vs Zafina | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.