| Pão78 vs Kazuya | 13–12 | 52.00% |
| Pão78 vs Eddy | 6–16 | 27.27% |
| Pão78 vs Jin | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| Pão78 vs King | 8–10 | 44.44% |
| Pão78 vs Reina | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Pão78 vs Dragunov | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Pão78 vs Hwoarang | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| Pão78 vs Bryan | 7–6 | 53.85% |
| Pão78 vs Steve | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Pão78 vs Jun | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| Pão78 vs Law | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Pão78 vs Lili | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Pão78 vs Yoshimitsu | 8–1 | 88.89% |
| Pão78 vs Devil Jin | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| Pão78 vs Paul | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Pão78 vs Lars | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Pão78 vs Asuka | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Pão78 vs Feng | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Pão78 vs Leroy | 4–1 | 80.00% |
| Pão78 vs Raven | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| Pão78 vs Jack-8 | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Pão78 vs Kuma | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| Pão78 vs Zafina | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Pão78 vs Azucena | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Pão78 vs Victor | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Pão78 vs Claudio | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Pão78 vs Lee | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| Pão78 vs Shaheen | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Pão78 vs Nina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Pão78 vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Pão78 vs Xiaoyu | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| Pão78 vs Leo | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Pão78 vs Alisa | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.