| Toasty vs Kazuya | 9–12 | 42.86% |
| Toasty vs Jin | 13–7 | 65.00% |
| Toasty vs Lili | 7–13 | 35.00% |
| Toasty vs Steve | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Toasty vs Armor King | 4–8 | 33.33% |
| Toasty vs Miary Zo | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Toasty vs Nina | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| Toasty vs Azucena | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Toasty vs Jun | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Toasty vs Reina | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| Toasty vs Asuka | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Toasty vs Lars | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Toasty vs Victor | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| Toasty vs Law | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Toasty vs King | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Toasty vs Claudio | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Toasty vs Lee | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Toasty vs Hwoarang | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Toasty vs Bryan | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Toasty vs Raven | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| Toasty vs Eddy | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Toasty vs Anna | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Toasty vs Yoshimitsu | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Toasty vs Dragunov | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Toasty vs Leo | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Toasty vs Alisa | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Toasty vs Lidia | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Toasty vs Heihachi | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Toasty vs Clive | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Toasty vs Jack-8 | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| Toasty vs Devil Jin | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.