| Hard vs Kazuya | 62–42 | 59.62% |
| Hard vs Jin | 46–38 | 54.76% |
| Hard vs Bryan | 36–43 | 45.57% |
| Hard vs Reina | 35–43 | 44.87% |
| Hard vs Dragunov | 39–33 | 54.17% |
| Hard vs Steve | 27–42 | 39.13% |
| Hard vs King | 33–31 | 51.56% |
| Hard vs Jun | 28–28 | 50.00% |
| Hard vs Law | 23–25 | 47.92% |
| Hard vs Heihachi | 16–25 | 39.02% |
| Hard vs Yoshimitsu | 18–20 | 47.37% |
| Hard vs Azucena | 18–20 | 47.37% |
| Hard vs Hwoarang | 20–17 | 54.05% |
| Hard vs Asuka | 15–21 | 41.67% |
| Hard vs Paul | 19–16 | 54.29% |
| Hard vs Lee | 16–15 | 51.61% |
| Hard vs Lili | 12–18 | 40.00% |
| Hard vs Devil Jin | 13–16 | 44.83% |
| Hard vs Nina | 15–14 | 51.72% |
| Hard vs Lidia | 14–14 | 50.00% |
| Hard vs Xiaoyu | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| Hard vs Jack-8 | 12–14 | 46.15% |
| Hard vs Victor | 7–19 | 26.92% |
| Hard vs Clive | 9–15 | 37.50% |
| Hard vs Armor King | 8–14 | 36.36% |
| Hard vs Lars | 10–11 | 47.62% |
| Hard vs Eddy | 7–13 | 35.00% |
| Hard vs Leo | 14–5 | 73.68% |
| Hard vs Claudio | 11–8 | 57.89% |
| Hard vs Kuma | 8–9 | 47.06% |
| Hard vs Alisa | 7–9 | 43.75% |
| Hard vs Feng | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Hard vs Raven | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| Hard vs Leroy | 10–2 | 83.33% |
| Hard vs Zafina | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| Hard vs Fahkumram | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Hard vs Anna | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| Hard vs Panda | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.