| cakes vs Reina | 10–13 | 43.48% |
| cakes vs Kazuya | 9–11 | 45.00% |
| cakes vs Hwoarang | 13–5 | 72.22% |
| cakes vs Bryan | 3–15 | 16.67% |
| cakes vs King | 7–10 | 41.18% |
| cakes vs Yoshimitsu | 3–14 | 17.65% |
| cakes vs Jun | 4–11 | 26.67% |
| cakes vs Jin | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| cakes vs Asuka | 9–4 | 69.23% |
| cakes vs Eddy | 3–10 | 23.08% |
| cakes vs Steve | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| cakes vs Paul | 4–7 | 36.36% |
| cakes vs Nina | 8–3 | 72.73% |
| cakes vs Law | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| cakes vs Lidia | 7–3 | 70.00% |
| cakes vs Lili | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| cakes vs Dragunov | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| cakes vs Alisa | 0–7 | 0.00% |
| cakes vs Devil Jin | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| cakes vs Xiaoyu | 1–4 | 20.00% |
| cakes vs Victor | 0–5 | 0.00% |
| cakes vs Jack-8 | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| cakes vs Feng | 2–1 | 66.67% |
| cakes vs Leo | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| cakes vs Lars | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| cakes vs Zafina | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| cakes vs Kuma | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| cakes vs Azucena | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| cakes vs Raven | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| cakes vs Claudio | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| cakes vs Shaheen | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| cakes vs Lee | 1–0 | 100.00% |
| cakes vs Leroy | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.