| Carlseen vs Kazuya | 25–30 | 45.45% |
| Carlseen vs Jin | 21–24 | 46.67% |
| Carlseen vs Bryan | 21–17 | 55.26% |
| Carlseen vs Yoshimitsu | 20–15 | 57.14% |
| Carlseen vs Anna | 12–23 | 34.29% |
| Carlseen vs Paul | 19–10 | 65.52% |
| Carlseen vs Steve | 15–13 | 53.57% |
| Carlseen vs Law | 13–14 | 48.15% |
| Carlseen vs Heihachi | 8–17 | 32.00% |
| Carlseen vs Hwoarang | 13–11 | 54.17% |
| Carlseen vs Lili | 14–10 | 58.33% |
| Carlseen vs Reina | 17–2 | 89.47% |
| Carlseen vs Jun | 10–8 | 55.56% |
| Carlseen vs Lars | 9–8 | 52.94% |
| Carlseen vs Lee | 12–5 | 70.59% |
| Carlseen vs Victor | 9–8 | 52.94% |
| Carlseen vs Nina | 6–10 | 37.50% |
| Carlseen vs Claudio | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| Carlseen vs King | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Carlseen vs Xiaoyu | 3–9 | 25.00% |
| Carlseen vs Jack-8 | 5–7 | 41.67% |
| Carlseen vs Asuka | 8–4 | 66.67% |
| Carlseen vs Feng | 3–7 | 30.00% |
| Carlseen vs Lidia | 6–4 | 60.00% |
| Carlseen vs Devil Jin | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Carlseen vs Leroy | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| Carlseen vs Azucena | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Carlseen vs Shaheen | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Carlseen vs Kuma | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| Carlseen vs Raven | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Carlseen vs Eddy | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| Carlseen vs Leo | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| Carlseen vs Dragunov | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Carlseen vs Alisa | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Carlseen vs Zafina | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Carlseen vs Clive | 0–4 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.