| Thumb vs Steve | 17–7 | 70.83% |
| Thumb vs Hwoarang | 9–14 | 39.13% |
| Thumb vs Eddy | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| Thumb vs Kazuya | 6–12 | 33.33% |
| Thumb vs Nina | 9–9 | 50.00% |
| Thumb vs King | 10–7 | 58.82% |
| Thumb vs Jin | 12–5 | 70.59% |
| Thumb vs Reina | 8–8 | 50.00% |
| Thumb vs Law | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Thumb vs Bryan | 10–4 | 71.43% |
| Thumb vs Azucena | 10–4 | 71.43% |
| Thumb vs Jun | 6–7 | 46.15% |
| Thumb vs Lili | 10–2 | 83.33% |
| Thumb vs Leo | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| Thumb vs Lars | 1–11 | 8.33% |
| Thumb vs Dragunov | 2–9 | 18.18% |
| Thumb vs Victor | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| Thumb vs Asuka | 3–6 | 33.33% |
| Thumb vs Lee | 7–2 | 77.78% |
| Thumb vs Yoshimitsu | 4–4 | 50.00% |
| Thumb vs Zafina | 2–5 | 28.57% |
| Thumb vs Leroy | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| Thumb vs Paul | 2–4 | 33.33% |
| Thumb vs Claudio | 1–5 | 16.67% |
| Thumb vs Xiaoyu | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| Thumb vs Jack-8 | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| Thumb vs Feng | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Thumb vs Shaheen | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Thumb vs Kuma | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| Thumb vs Panda | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| Thumb vs Raven | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| Thumb vs Devil Jin | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Thumb vs Alisa | 1–1 | 50.00% |
| Thumb vs Clive | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.