| Supernova vs Jin | 62–69 | 47.33% |
| Supernova vs Heihachi | 58–44 | 56.86% |
| Supernova vs Kazuya | 46–55 | 45.54% |
| Supernova vs Dragunov | 38–46 | 45.24% |
| Supernova vs King | 33–45 | 42.31% |
| Supernova vs Hwoarang | 28–31 | 47.46% |
| Supernova vs Reina | 36–22 | 62.07% |
| Supernova vs Steve | 19–27 | 41.30% |
| Supernova vs Lars | 26–19 | 57.78% |
| Supernova vs Law | 23–21 | 52.27% |
| Supernova vs Yoshimitsu | 20–23 | 46.51% |
| Supernova vs Bryan | 16–24 | 40.00% |
| Supernova vs Asuka | 13–24 | 35.14% |
| Supernova vs Devil Jin | 15–21 | 41.67% |
| Supernova vs Victor | 10–25 | 28.57% |
| Supernova vs Lili | 19–15 | 55.88% |
| Supernova vs Jun | 9–25 | 26.47% |
| Supernova vs Lee | 13–17 | 43.33% |
| Supernova vs Feng | 10–18 | 35.71% |
| Supernova vs Lidia | 12–15 | 44.44% |
| Supernova vs Xiaoyu | 10–16 | 38.46% |
| Supernova vs Clive | 11–13 | 45.83% |
| Supernova vs Leo | 9–13 | 40.91% |
| Supernova vs Nina | 7–15 | 31.82% |
| Supernova vs Paul | 7–14 | 33.33% |
| Supernova vs Leroy | 9–12 | 42.86% |
| Supernova vs Alisa | 7–12 | 36.84% |
| Supernova vs Kuma | 8–11 | 42.11% |
| Supernova vs Claudio | 6–12 | 33.33% |
| Supernova vs Azucena | 5–11 | 31.25% |
| Supernova vs Eddy | 6–9 | 40.00% |
| Supernova vs Jack-8 | 6–8 | 42.86% |
| Supernova vs Shaheen | 9–5 | 64.29% |
| Supernova vs Raven | 0–4 | 0.00% |
| Supernova vs Panda | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| Supernova vs Zafina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| Supernova vs Anna | 0–2 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.