| SpectreWaffle vs King | 15–7 | 68.18% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Reina | 12–8 | 60.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Kazuya | 10–8 | 55.56% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Hwoarang | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Jin | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Azucena | 8–5 | 61.54% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Raven | 7–5 | 58.33% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Dragunov | 6–5 | 54.55% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Alisa | 5–6 | 45.45% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Paul | 5–5 | 50.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Law | 9–1 | 90.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Asuka | 4–6 | 40.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Victor | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Yoshimitsu | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Xiaoyu | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Bryan | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Steve | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Lili | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Lars | 2–6 | 25.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Nina | 6–2 | 75.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Kuma | 5–2 | 71.43% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Jun | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Devil Jin | 5–0 | 100.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Shaheen | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Zafina | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Feng | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Lee | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Leroy | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Eddy | 1–3 | 25.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Jack-8 | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| SpectreWaffle vs Leo | 0–1 | 0.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.