| Manuel vs Kazuya | 269–274 | 49.54% |
| Manuel vs Jin | 237–251 | 48.57% |
| Manuel vs Bryan | 186–216 | 46.27% |
| Manuel vs King | 175–174 | 50.14% |
| Manuel vs Hwoarang | 138–194 | 41.57% |
| Manuel vs Paul | 126–144 | 46.67% |
| Manuel vs Reina | 139–120 | 53.67% |
| Manuel vs Law | 105–147 | 41.67% |
| Manuel vs Steve | 120–132 | 47.62% |
| Manuel vs Yoshimitsu | 92–125 | 42.40% |
| Manuel vs Lili | 93–117 | 44.29% |
| Manuel vs Dragunov | 101–109 | 48.10% |
| Manuel vs Heihachi | 94–102 | 47.96% |
| Manuel vs Jun | 76–93 | 44.97% |
| Manuel vs Devil Jin | 65–99 | 39.63% |
| Manuel vs Asuka | 72–81 | 47.06% |
| Manuel vs Lars | 68–85 | 44.44% |
| Manuel vs Lee | 72–78 | 48.00% |
| Manuel vs Xiaoyu | 68–70 | 49.28% |
| Manuel vs Azucena | 56–77 | 42.11% |
| Manuel vs Armor King | 68–61 | 52.71% |
| Manuel vs Nina | 56–70 | 44.44% |
| Manuel vs Feng | 57–58 | 49.57% |
| Manuel vs Victor | 38–62 | 38.00% |
| Manuel vs Alisa | 31–68 | 31.31% |
| Manuel vs Eddy | 41–57 | 41.84% |
| Manuel vs Lidia | 44–50 | 46.81% |
| Manuel vs Fahkumram | 31–54 | 36.47% |
| Manuel vs Leo | 30–46 | 39.47% |
| Manuel vs Jack-8 | 25–33 | 43.10% |
| Manuel vs Raven | 29–29 | 50.00% |
| Manuel vs Leroy | 17–40 | 29.82% |
| Manuel vs Clive | 28–26 | 51.85% |
| Manuel vs Anna | 24–29 | 45.28% |
| Manuel vs Kuma | 21–27 | 43.75% |
| Manuel vs Claudio | 15–25 | 37.50% |
| Manuel vs Shaheen | 18–18 | 50.00% |
| Manuel vs Zafina | 15–15 | 50.00% |
| Manuel vs Miary Zo | 10–16 | 38.46% |
| Manuel vs Panda | 6–13 | 31.58% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.