| HotMatcha vs Heihachi | 14–7 | 66.67% |
| HotMatcha vs Asuka | 5–8 | 38.46% |
| HotMatcha vs Nina | 6–6 | 50.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Kazuya | 2–9 | 18.18% |
| HotMatcha vs Jin | 7–3 | 70.00% |
| HotMatcha vs King | 5–3 | 62.50% |
| HotMatcha vs Xiaoyu | 4–3 | 57.14% |
| HotMatcha vs Bryan | 3–4 | 42.86% |
| HotMatcha vs Lars | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| HotMatcha vs Victor | 6–1 | 85.71% |
| HotMatcha vs Devil Jin | 3–3 | 50.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Leo | 4–2 | 66.67% |
| HotMatcha vs Dragunov | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Kuma | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Jun | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Reina | 2–3 | 40.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Azucena | 3–2 | 60.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Paul | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Steve | 2–2 | 50.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Feng | 3–1 | 75.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Eddy | 4–0 | 100.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Yoshimitsu | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| HotMatcha vs Jack-8 | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Lili | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| HotMatcha vs Alisa | 0–3 | 0.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Lidia | 1–2 | 33.33% |
| HotMatcha vs Law | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Hwoarang | 0–2 | 0.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Zafina | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Leroy | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Raven | 2–0 | 100.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Lee | 0–1 | 0.00% |
| HotMatcha vs Panda | 1–0 | 100.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.