| Surprise MTFK vs Jin | 105–80 | 56.76% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Dragunov | 83–65 | 56.08% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Kazuya | 75–62 | 54.74% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Reina | 82–46 | 64.06% |
| Surprise MTFK vs King | 68–55 | 55.28% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Bryan | 65–47 | 58.04% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Steve | 52–38 | 57.78% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Victor | 43–47 | 47.78% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Hwoarang | 47–42 | 52.81% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Lili | 52–35 | 59.77% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Asuka | 46–40 | 53.49% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Yoshimitsu | 40–41 | 49.38% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Paul | 36–44 | 45.00% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Eddy | 32–32 | 50.00% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Lars | 26–31 | 45.61% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Law | 30–26 | 53.57% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Leroy | 34–17 | 66.67% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Feng | 17–33 | 34.00% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Jun | 26–24 | 52.00% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Alisa | 24–25 | 48.98% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Claudio | 19–28 | 40.43% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Azucena | 30–16 | 65.22% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Xiaoyu | 17–24 | 41.46% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Jack-8 | 23–17 | 57.50% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Nina | 18–22 | 45.00% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Devil Jin | 14–25 | 35.90% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Lee | 19–20 | 48.72% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Fahkumram | 12–16 | 42.86% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Leo | 17–5 | 77.27% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Shaheen | 8–14 | 36.36% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Zafina | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Raven | 5–10 | 33.33% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Lidia | 8–7 | 53.33% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Heihachi | 7–7 | 50.00% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Armor King | 8–2 | 80.00% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Kuma | 6–3 | 66.67% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Panda | 2–7 | 22.22% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Clive | 7–1 | 87.50% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Anna | 3–0 | 100.00% |
| Surprise MTFK vs Miary Zo | 1–2 | 33.33% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.