| RawTheory vs Kazuya | 77–67 | 53.47% |
| RawTheory vs King | 55–69 | 44.35% |
| RawTheory vs Reina | 51–70 | 42.15% |
| RawTheory vs Jin | 47–63 | 42.73% |
| RawTheory vs Dragunov | 32–50 | 39.02% |
| RawTheory vs Law | 47–30 | 61.04% |
| RawTheory vs Yoshimitsu | 27–48 | 36.00% |
| RawTheory vs Asuka | 39–36 | 52.00% |
| RawTheory vs Paul | 27–46 | 36.99% |
| RawTheory vs Steve | 31–41 | 43.06% |
| RawTheory vs Lili | 27–45 | 37.50% |
| RawTheory vs Lee | 27–40 | 40.30% |
| RawTheory vs Eddy | 28–35 | 44.44% |
| RawTheory vs Bryan | 31–28 | 52.54% |
| RawTheory vs Feng | 29–29–1 | 50.00% |
| RawTheory vs Hwoarang | 21–34 | 38.18% |
| RawTheory vs Xiaoyu | 23–32 | 41.82% |
| RawTheory vs Lars | 17–36 | 32.08% |
| RawTheory vs Azucena | 27–24 | 52.94% |
| RawTheory vs Devil Jin | 23–25 | 47.92% |
| RawTheory vs Jun | 29–14 | 67.44% |
| RawTheory vs Victor | 23–20 | 53.49% |
| RawTheory vs Alisa | 16–25 | 39.02% |
| RawTheory vs Leroy | 17–23 | 42.50% |
| RawTheory vs Nina | 14–25 | 35.90% |
| RawTheory vs Raven | 20–19 | 51.28% |
| RawTheory vs Leo | 18–20 | 47.37% |
| RawTheory vs Zafina | 15–18 | 45.45% |
| RawTheory vs Jack-8 | 12–17 | 41.38% |
| RawTheory vs Kuma | 8–21 | 27.59% |
| RawTheory vs Claudio | 10–15 | 40.00% |
| RawTheory vs Shaheen | 10–10 | 50.00% |
| RawTheory vs Panda | 4–6 | 40.00% |
Limitations
This data is often requested to give insight into which characters you have more trouble with than others, but it is not particularly helpful for that. The main issue is that it is heavily skewed by how strong the opponents you play are.
For example, this data suggests my worst matchup is clearly vs Reina, but that's just because most of those games are vs Yagami.
There is a way to account for this being worked on. The central idea is to assign each matchup a rating vs you which adjusts based on the result, much like the regular rating but also based on the rating of each player. With this, it would give a better summary of how well you perform vs each character.
In the meantime, this page is here to present the data as requested.